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21st Century Money Printing Thumbnail

21st Century Money Printing

Markets

Quantitative Easing

Is a policy tool by which the Federal Reserve can increase the money supply. The logic being that as the money supply increases, the cost to borrow money (interest rates) will drop. As money becomes cheaper to borrow, more companies and individuals will take out loans to invest in factories and buildings or to purchase consumer goods like new cars and vacations, thus growing the economy.

How Does the Federal Reserve Do This?

Let's use Bank ABC as an example. Bank ABC owns a US Treasury Bond. The Federal Reserve goes to Bank ABC and offers to buy the Treasury Bond for $1 million to which Bank ABC agrees. Bank ABC gets $1 million cash and in return the Federal Reserve now owns the US Treasury Bond. Bank ABC now has $1 million in cash that it can go lend out to business' or consumers. So where did the Federal Reserve get the $1 million to buy the Bond? Out of thin air! All it did was make an accounting entry for $1million in Bank ABCs account with Federal Reserve! (It should be noted here that the Federal Reserve functions as a bank for banks. Just as you have a checking account, your bank in turn has its own account at the Federal Reserve.)



So How Much Money Has Been Created?

The chart above shows the amount of assets the Federal Reserve owned over time. You will notice on the right side the line goes straight up from around $4 trillion to over $6 trillion. This means the Federal Reserve has purchased over 2 trillion dollars in assets in the past month! And how did it pay for the 2 trillion in assets? You guessed it, accounting entries!

Sounds Too Good to Be True!

History tells us that printing money, whether using the old fashion printing press or accounting entries, frequently leads to inflation. Inflation is another way of saying a dollar does not buy what it used to. Human nature being what it is, any individual or group of individuals will over time fail to resist the temptation to continue to create money out of thin air. One prediction some have made is that the Federal Reserve will keep growing the money supply through buying more and more assets. There is even talk that the Fed could start buying stocks! I'll leave you with the following quote by Lord Acton, "power corrupts and absolute power corrupts absolutely."